Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +16.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Barbashev on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Barbashev wins 40.6% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 43.0% vs Seguin 54.2% (-16.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 58.3%
Defensive zone
Seguin 84.2%
Neutral zone
Seguin 70.8%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 70.8%
29.2%
70.8%
Barbashev
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Barbashev
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barbashev
2
1
Barbashev
Seguin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
39.1% (128)
55.0% (713)
-15.9%
Power Play
36.4% (11)
56.7% (104)
-20.3%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
47.2% (53)
-27.2%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +27.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Barbashev is 40.6% vs right-shot opponents (69).
Barbashev shoots left. Seguin is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Barbashev
Seguin
Home
40.0% (85)
56.2% (443)
Away
35.6% (59)
53.2% (427)
By Period
Barbashev
Seguin
P1
35.8%
54.2%
P2
29.5%
52.9%
P3
48.9%
57.1%
Final 5 min
31.3%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
38.2%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 1 | 16:08 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |