Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +13.8% FO% edge overall. Barbashev wins 37.0% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 46.5% vs Seguin 55.4% (-13.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barbashev 82.0%
Defensive zone
Seguin 69.5%
Neutral zone
Barbashev 57.0%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 69.5%
30.5%
69.5%
Barbashev
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Barbashev
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Barbashev
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
40.0% (75)
56.9% (478)
-16.9%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
57.4% (54)
+0.9%
On even strength, Seguin has a +16.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Barbashev is 37.0% vs right-shot opponents (27).
Barbashev shoots left. Seguin is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (473).
Home / Away
Barbashev
Seguin
Home
45.8% (48)
57.4% (317)
Away
38.5% (39)
55.0% (291)
By Period
Barbashev
Seguin
P1
43.3%
50.3%
P2
31.0%
60.4%
P3
53.6%
58.0%
Final 5 min
35.3%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
42.5%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2023 | 1 | 18:32 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |