Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +16.1% FO% edge overall. Barbashev wins 42.1% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 42.3% vs Seguin 55.4% (-16.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barbashev 81.4%
Defensive zone
Barbashev 83.7%
Neutral zone
Barbashev 85.7%
Result
Ivan Barbashev favored at 82.5%
82.5%
17.5%
Barbashev
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
4
(4 meetings)
0
4
Barbashev
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
2
Barbashev
Seguin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
2
Barbashev
Seguin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
37.9% (272)
56.5% (712)
-18.6%
Power Play
58.6% (29)
59.7% (67)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
40.7% (27)
44.9% (49)
-4.2%
On even strength, Seguin has a +18.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Barbashev is 42.1% vs right-shot opponents (126).
Barbashev shoots left. Seguin is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (604).
Home / Away
Barbashev
Seguin
Home
45.3% (137)
58.5% (402)
Away
36.1% (191)
53.8% (426)
By Period
Barbashev
Seguin
P1
41.8%
58.4%
P2
43.1%
54.7%
P3
31.9%
54.1%
OT
75.0%
72.7%
Final 5 min
37.1%
57.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
39.9%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2022 | 1 | 00:46 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 17, 2021 | 2 | 13:22 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 3 | 15:39 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 1 | 13:57 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |