Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Tkachuk on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 51.0% vs Compher 45.6% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 86.5%
Defensive zone
Compher 79.3%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 59.0%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Tkachuk
Compher
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Tkachuk
Compher
Last 9: Tkachuk 5-4 Compher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
3
1
Tkachuk
Compher
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
1
3
Tkachuk
Compher
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
1
0
Tkachuk
Compher
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Compher
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (194)
45.8% (847)
+5.2%
Power Play
51.7% (151)
40.8% (49)
+10.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
41.9% (117)
+8.1%
On power play, Tkachuk has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Compher shoots right. Tkachuk is 47.3% vs right-shot opponents (129).
Tkachuk shoots left. Compher is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (740).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Compher
Home
50.0% (140)
45.1% (519)
Away
52.2% (207)
45.1% (494)
By Period
Tkachuk
Compher
P1
54.3%
45.8%
P2
50.0%
46.2%
P3
49.5%
43.2%
OT
33.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.1%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
51.3%
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
45.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 19:55 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 06:05 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 3 | 05:00 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 1 | 19:20 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 1 | 00:19 | Defensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 3 | 14:38 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 2 | 19:47 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 2 | 03:24 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 1 | 14:56 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |