Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Compher on defensive-zone draws (93% H2H, 14 meetings). Tkachuk wins 44.5% vs right-shot opponents — Compher shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 49.7% vs Compher 47.6% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Compher leads 17-11 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 88.5%
Defensive zone
Compher 69.4%
Neutral zone
Compher 53.0%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Tkachuk
Compher
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
17
(28 meetings)
11
17
Tkachuk
Compher
Last 10: Tkachuk 4-6 Compher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
8
1
Tkachuk
Compher
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
1
13
Tkachuk
Compher
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Compher
2
3
Tkachuk
Compher
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Compher
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (1,510)
48.5% (5,541)
+0.4%
Power Play
50.7% (1,254)
52.3% (664)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (20)
42.0% (1,397)
+3.0%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +3.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Compher shoots right. Tkachuk is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,203).
Tkachuk shoots left. Compher is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (5,490).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Compher
Home
50.9% (1,394)
49.0% (3,825)
Away
48.6% (1,390)
46.2% (3,777)
By Period
Tkachuk
Compher
P1
49.3%
48.8%
P2
51.0%
47.2%
P3
48.5%
47.1%
OT
54.5%
39.5%
Final 5 min
46.4%
46.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▬
57.0%
49.7%
Compher
60.0%▲
49.0%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2026 | 3 | 07:18 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 3 | 07:12 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 19:55 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 06:05 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 3 | 05:00 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 1 | 19:20 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 1 | 00:19 | Defensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 3 | 14:38 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 2 | 19:47 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 2 | 03:24 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 1 | 14:56 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 16, 2023 | OT | 03:04 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 17:58 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 15:30 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 3 | 12:45 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 3 | 04:06 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 2 | 01:57 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 1 | 12:03 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 1 | 05:59 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 1 | 05:44 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |