Scouting Report
J.T. Compher holds a +15.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 51.8% vs Hughes 39.8% (+15.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Compher 54.4%
Defensive zone
Compher 88.6%
Neutral zone
Compher 69.4%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 88.6%
88.6%
11.4%
Compher
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Compher
Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
1
0
Compher
Hughes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (757)
36.8% (266)
+17.1%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
14.3% (7)
+40.5%
Penalty Kill
35.6% (90)
33.3% (6)
+2.3%
On power play, Compher has a +40.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Compher is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Compher shoots right. Hughes is 41.1% vs right-shot opponents (90).
Home / Away
Compher
Hughes
Home
52.4% (429)
35.1% (148)
Away
51.7% (449)
37.4% (131)
By Period
Compher
Hughes
P1
56.0%
43.0%
P2
50.0%
28.7%
P3
50.6%
35.2%
Final 5 min
49.3%
28.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
52.1%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | 2 | 05:08 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |