Scouting Report
J.T. Compher holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Hughes on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Compher wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Hughes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 45.6% vs Hughes 39.2% (+7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 80.0%
Defensive zone
Compher 64.8%
Neutral zone
Hughes 56.5%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 66.3%
33.7%
66.3%
Compher
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Compher
Hughes
Last 5: Compher 2-3 Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
0
3
Compher
Hughes
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
1
0
Compher
Hughes
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Compher
1
0
Compher
Hughes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (847)
37.9% (623)
+7.9%
Power Play
40.8% (49)
33.3% (33)
+7.5%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (117)
36.4% (11)
+5.5%
On even strength, Compher has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Compher is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (740).
Compher shoots right. Hughes is 37.0% vs right-shot opponents (208).
Home / Away
Compher
Hughes
Home
45.1% (519)
36.6% (314)
Away
45.1% (494)
38.5% (353)
By Period
Compher
Hughes
P1
45.8%
36.4%
P2
46.2%
35.6%
P3
43.2%
41.8%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
41.6%
36.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
45.1%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
37.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 19:00 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 18:44 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 11:10 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 12:50 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 06:55 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |