Scouting Report
J.T. Compher holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Compher on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Compher wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Hughes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 45.2% vs Hughes 40.3% (+7.6%)
H2H factor
Hughes leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Hughes 79.2%
Defensive zone
Compher 80.2%
Neutral zone
Compher 54.2%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 57.2%
57.2%
42.8%
Compher
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Compher
Hughes
Last 10: Compher 5-5 Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
0
3
Compher
Hughes
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
5
0
Compher
Hughes
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hughes
0
2
Compher
Hughes
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (782)
35.6% (281)
+9.9%
Power Play
44.2% (77)
50.0% (36)
-5.8%
On even strength, Compher has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Compher is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (750).
Compher shoots right. Hughes is 41.4% vs right-shot opponents (111).
Home / Away
Compher
Hughes
Home
44.0% (484)
38.4% (198)
Away
45.4% (555)
35.3% (119)
By Period
Compher
Hughes
P1
46.2%
44.3%
P2
44.8%
34.2%
P3
44.2%
34.0%
Final 5 min
37.8%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
44.8%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
37.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2023 | 3 | 05:32 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 3 | 11:53 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 2 | 17:34 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 3 | 17:20 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 2 | 18:43 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 2 | 12:56 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 2 | 00:34 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 1 | 14:38 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 1 | 05:54 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |