Scouting Report
J.T. Compher holds a +13.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 48.9% vs Hughes 37.9% (+13.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 50.6%
Defensive zone
Compher 90.5%
Neutral zone
Compher 65.8%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 74.1%
74.1%
25.9%
Compher
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Compher
Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
1
0
Compher
Hughes
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Compher
Hughes
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (1,149)
34.9% (444)
+14.4%
Power Play
53.9% (204)
50.0% (14)
+3.9%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (312)
33.3% (6)
+10.3%
On even strength, Compher has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Compher is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,162).
Compher shoots right. Hughes is 35.2% vs right-shot opponents (179).
Home / Away
Compher
Hughes
Home
50.7% (872)
37.4% (235)
Away
46.8% (793)
33.2% (229)
By Period
Compher
Hughes
P1
49.9%
37.1%
P2
47.9%
33.7%
P3
49.0%
34.8%
OT
46.9%
100.0%
Final 5 min
51.0%
32.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
48.8%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
35.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2023 | 2 | 16:59 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 2 | 09:00 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 2 | 01:08 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |