Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 51.8% vs Tavares 57.2% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 58.5%
Defensive zone
Compher 82.5%
Neutral zone
Compher 59.5%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 61.0%
61.0%
39.0%
Compher
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
10
(14 meetings)
4
10
Compher
Tavares
Last 10: Compher 3-7 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
4
Compher
Tavares
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
3
Compher
Tavares
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Compher
Tavares
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (757)
58.0% (914)
-4.1%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
57.0% (235)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
35.6% (90)
57.9% (19)
-22.3%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +22.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Compher is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Compher shoots right. Tavares is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (402).
Home / Away
Compher
Tavares
Home
52.4% (429)
57.8% (614)
Away
51.7% (449)
57.8% (554)
By Period
Compher
Tavares
P1
56.0%
58.0%
P2
50.0%
56.9%
P3
50.6%
58.4%
OT
50.0%
57.7%
Final 5 min
49.3%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
52.1%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
57.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2026 | 3 | 01:24 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 09:26 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 01:43 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 1 | 03:57 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 1 | 01:29 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 1 | 01:21 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 1 | 01:17 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 10:39 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 18:55 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 18:12 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 01:02 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 00:41 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 15:32 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 12:32 | Defensive | John Tavares |