Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +13.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Compher wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 45.6% vs Tavares 57.7% (-13.2%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 13-9 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Compher 60.9%
Defensive zone
Compher 63.8%
Neutral zone
Compher 72.5%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 64.9%
64.9%
35.1%
Compher
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
13
(22 meetings)
9
13
Compher
Tavares
Last 10: Compher 4-6 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
6
Compher
Tavares
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
7
3
Compher
Tavares
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
4
Compher
Tavares
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (847)
57.7% (998)
-11.9%
Power Play
40.8% (49)
60.5% (271)
-19.7%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (117)
56.4% (39)
-14.5%
On power play, Tavares has a +19.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Compher is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (740).
Compher shoots right. Tavares is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (490).
Home / Away
Compher
Tavares
Home
45.1% (519)
59.7% (610)
Away
45.1% (494)
57.0% (698)
By Period
Compher
Tavares
P1
45.8%
57.2%
P2
46.2%
58.5%
P3
43.2%
59.4%
OT
33.3%
46.7%
Final 5 min
41.6%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
45.1%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2024 | 2 | 05:12 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 1 | 16:41 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 1 | 12:01 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 1 | 05:36 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 14:10 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 10:43 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 01:30 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 14:22 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 10:53 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 03:07 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 00:09 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 3 | 11:39 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 2 | 10:11 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 1 | 10:48 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 1 | 05:59 | Defensive | John Tavares |