Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +14.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Compher on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Compher wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 45.2% vs Tavares 58.7% (-14.5%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 8-8 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 81.1%
Defensive zone
Compher 67.3%
Neutral zone
Tavares 57.9%
Result
John Tavares favored at 57.1%
42.9%
57.1%
Compher
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
8
(16 meetings)
8
8
Compher
Tavares
Last 10: Compher 5-5 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
5
Compher
Tavares
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
6
0
Compher
Tavares
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
3
Compher
Tavares
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (782)
59.2% (1,035)
-13.7%
Power Play
44.2% (77)
60.0% (310)
-15.8%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (180)
42.9% (7)
-1.2%
On power play, Tavares has a +15.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Compher is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (750).
Compher shoots right. Tavares is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (487).
Home / Away
Compher
Tavares
Home
44.0% (484)
57.5% (668)
Away
45.4% (555)
61.1% (684)
By Period
Compher
Tavares
P1
46.2%
58.0%
P2
44.8%
60.1%
P3
44.2%
61.0%
OT
25.0%
27.8%
Final 5 min
37.8%
60.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
44.8%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 18:42 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 18:34 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 17:15 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 19:27 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 19:10 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 03:12 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 1 | 14:35 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 1 | 10:02 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 14, 2024 | 1 | 08:14 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 14, 2024 | 1 | 03:52 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 17, 2023 | 3 | 12:46 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 17, 2023 | 3 | 06:47 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 17, 2023 | 3 | 03:13 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 17, 2023 | 2 | 12:52 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 17, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 17, 2023 | 1 | 07:49 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |