Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 48.9% vs Tavares 57.7% (-9.5%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 60.1%
Defensive zone
Compher 80.0%
Neutral zone
Compher 58.0%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 66.4%
66.4%
33.6%
Compher
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
9
(15 meetings)
6
9
Compher
Tavares
Last 10: Compher 4-6 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
4
Compher
Tavares
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
5
4
Compher
Tavares
9 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Compher
Tavares
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (1,149)
57.5% (914)
-8.2%
Power Play
53.9% (204)
60.5% (309)
-6.6%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (312)
59.1% (22)
-15.5%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +15.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Compher is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,162).
Compher shoots right. Tavares is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Home / Away
Compher
Tavares
Home
50.7% (872)
61.0% (661)
Away
46.8% (793)
55.3% (584)
By Period
Compher
Tavares
P1
49.9%
58.6%
P2
47.9%
57.8%
P3
49.0%
58.4%
OT
46.9%
66.7%
Final 5 min
51.0%
63.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
48.8%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2023 | 3 | 19:45 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 15, 2023 | 3 | 13:10 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 15, 2023 | 3 | 01:01 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 15, 2023 | 2 | 03:21 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 15, 2023 | 2 | 00:22 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 15, 2023 | 1 | 16:40 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 15, 2023 | 1 | 10:05 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 15, 2023 | 1 | 07:16 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 14:13 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 2 | 19:40 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 2 | 10:43 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 2 | 06:27 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 2 | 00:08 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 1 | 18:54 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 1 | 12:11 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |