Scouting Report
J.T. Compher holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Compher wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Carlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 45.2% vs Carlsson 37.1% (+10.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Compher 59.2%
Defensive zone
Compher 79.9%
Neutral zone
Compher 70.9%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 70.0%
70.0%
30.0%
Compher
Carlsson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Compher
Carlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Compher
1
0
Compher
Carlsson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
1
0
Compher
Carlsson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carlsson
0
1
Compher
Carlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Carlsson
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (782)
34.4% (535)
+11.1%
Power Play
44.2% (77)
42.9% (21)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (180)
40.0% (5)
+1.7%
On even strength, Compher has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carlsson shoots left. Compher is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (750).
Compher shoots right. Carlsson is 33.5% vs right-shot opponents (167).
Home / Away
Compher
Carlsson
Home
44.0% (484)
38.6% (254)
Away
45.4% (555)
31.6% (307)
By Period
Compher
Carlsson
P1
46.2%
35.9%
P2
44.8%
33.8%
P3
44.2%
34.3%
OT
25.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
37.8%
36.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
44.8%
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
34.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2023 | 3 | 09:56 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 2 | 06:16 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |