Scouting Report
J.T. Compher holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Compher on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 47.8% vs Carlsson 41.2% (+7.0%)
H2H factor
Compher leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Compher 62.2%
Defensive zone
Compher 87.2%
Neutral zone
Compher 74.1%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 75.8%
75.8%
24.2%
Compher
Carlsson
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Compher
Carlsson
Last 10: Compher 6-4 Carlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carlsson
1
2
Compher
Carlsson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
4
0
Compher
Carlsson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carlsson
1
2
Compher
Carlsson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Carlsson
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (5,716)
41.0% (1,844)
+7.7%
Power Play
52.6% (682)
42.9% (154)
+9.7%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (1,421)
35.0% (120)
+6.9%
On power play, Compher has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carlsson shoots left. Compher is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (5,626).
Compher shoots right. Carlsson is 41.9% vs right-shot opponents (639).
Home / Away
Compher
Carlsson
Home
49.1% (3,894)
42.2% (1,044)
Away
46.6% (3,925)
39.4% (1,074)
By Period
Compher
Carlsson
P1
49.1%
43.3%
P2
47.3%
36.5%
P3
47.4%
43.2%
OT
40.2%
40.7%
Final 5 min
46.2%
40.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
47.8%
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
40.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 08:21 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 07:50 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 01:16 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 17:03 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 3 | 00:29 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 1 | 08:40 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 1 | 08:24 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 3 | 09:56 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 2 | 06:16 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |