Scouting Report
J.T. Compher holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 51.8% vs Carlsson 45.0% (+7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carlsson 73.3%
Defensive zone
Compher 55.7%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 60.7%
Result
Leo Carlsson favored at 59.2%
40.8%
59.2%
Compher
Carlsson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Compher
Carlsson
Last 5: Compher 2-3 Carlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carlsson
0
2
Compher
Carlsson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
2
0
Compher
Carlsson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carlsson
0
1
Compher
Carlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Carlsson
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (757)
45.5% (661)
+8.4%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
46.3% (82)
+8.5%
Penalty Kill
35.6% (90)
33.3% (84)
+2.3%
On power play, Compher has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carlsson shoots left. Compher is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Compher shoots right. Carlsson is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (287).
Home / Away
Compher
Carlsson
Home
52.4% (429)
42.5% (428)
Away
51.7% (449)
46.4% (399)
By Period
Compher
Carlsson
P1
56.0%
45.4%
P2
50.0%
39.7%
P3
50.6%
48.5%
OT
50.0%
41.7%
Final 5 min
49.3%
39.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
52.1%
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 08:21 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 07:50 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 01:16 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 17:03 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 3 | 00:29 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |