Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 48.9% vs Kastelic 55.9% (-8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Compher 84.4%
Defensive zone
Compher 54.7%
Neutral zone
Compher 67.6%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 69.5%
69.5%
30.5%
Compher
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Compher
Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
1
Compher
Kastelic
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
1
Compher
Kastelic
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (1,149)
58.0% (476)
-8.7%
Power Play
53.9% (204)
75.0% (8)
-21.1%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (312)
50.9% (106)
-7.3%
On power play, Kastelic has a +21.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Compher is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (503).
Compher shoots right. Kastelic is 58.3% vs right-shot opponents (199).
Home / Away
Compher
Kastelic
Home
50.7% (872)
64.9% (265)
Away
46.8% (793)
50.5% (325)
By Period
Compher
Kastelic
P1
49.9%
58.5%
P2
47.9%
55.6%
P3
49.0%
56.8%
Final 5 min
51.0%
62.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
48.8%
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2023 | 3 | 11:26 | Offensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 11:12 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |