Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Compher wins 45.7% vs right-shot opponents — Kastelic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 45.2% vs Kastelic 53.5% (-9.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Compher 55.8%
Defensive zone
Compher 59.8%
Neutral zone
Compher 56.7%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 55.8%
55.8%
44.2%
Compher
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Compher
Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
1
Compher
Kastelic
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (782)
53.4% (337)
-7.9%
Power Play
44.2% (77)
100.0% (4)
-55.8%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (180)
75.0% (8)
-33.3%
On power play, Kastelic has a +55.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Compher is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (289).
Compher shoots right. Kastelic is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (103).
Home / Away
Compher
Kastelic
Home
44.0% (484)
56.2% (162)
Away
45.4% (555)
52.9% (187)
By Period
Compher
Kastelic
P1
46.2%
58.2%
P2
44.8%
58.8%
P3
44.2%
45.4%
Final 5 min
37.8%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
44.8%
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2024 | 2 | 16:14 | Offensive | Mark Kastelic |