Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Kastelic on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 51.8% vs Kastelic 58.3% (-7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Compher 76.6%
Defensive zone
Compher 56.3%
Neutral zone
Compher 61.2%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 67.2%
67.2%
32.8%
Compher
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Compher
Kastelic
Last 6: Compher 2-4 Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
3
Compher
Kastelic
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Compher
Kastelic
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Compher
1
0
Compher
Kastelic
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (757)
61.2% (340)
-7.3%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
83.3% (6)
-28.5%
Penalty Kill
35.6% (90)
56.0% (141)
-20.4%
On power play, Kastelic has a +28.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Compher is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (282).
Compher shoots right. Kastelic is 68.3% vs right-shot opponents (82).
Home / Away
Compher
Kastelic
Home
52.4% (429)
60.9% (233)
Away
51.7% (449)
59.1% (254)
By Period
Compher
Kastelic
P1
56.0%
58.6%
P2
50.0%
58.7%
P3
50.6%
63.1%
OT
50.0%
53.8%
Final 5 min
49.3%
67.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
52.1%
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
60.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 05:09 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 05:16 | Offensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 05:10 | Offensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 3 | 03:18 | Offensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 04:39 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |