Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 51.3% vs Dowd 53.3% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Compher 73.3%
Defensive zone
Dowd 72.6%
Neutral zone
Dowd 64.8%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 60.6%
60.6%
39.4%
Compher
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Compher
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Compher
2
0
Compher
Dowd
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Compher
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (471)
55.4% (771)
-3.2%
Power Play
65.6% (61)
57.1% (7)
+8.5%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (125)
45.5% (165)
-3.9%
On power play, Compher has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Compher is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (175).
Compher shoots right. Dowd is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (322).
Home / Away
Compher
Dowd
Home
54.4% (362)
58.2% (462)
Away
47.8% (295)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Compher
Dowd
P1
49.6%
55.6%
P2
53.6%
50.5%
P3
51.4%
53.9%
OT
57.1%
75.0%
Final 5 min
46.8%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
51.4%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2022 | 2 | 08:13 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Apr 18, 2022 | 1 | 10:32 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 3 | 15:04 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |