Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 45.6% vs Dowd 49.9% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Compher 92.6%
Defensive zone
Compher 55.2%
Neutral zone
Compher 66.5%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 62.7%
62.7%
37.3%
Compher
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Compher
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Compher
Dowd
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
2
Compher
Dowd
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (847)
52.2% (835)
-6.4%
Power Play
40.8% (49)
60.0% (10)
-19.2%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (117)
44.0% (350)
-2.1%
On power play, Dowd has a +19.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Compher is 47.3% vs right-shot opponents (273).
Compher shoots right. Dowd is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (362).
Home / Away
Compher
Dowd
Home
45.1% (519)
51.5% (619)
Away
45.1% (494)
48.1% (576)
By Period
Compher
Dowd
P1
45.8%
51.7%
P2
46.2%
51.6%
P3
43.2%
47.0%
OT
33.3%
22.2%
Final 5 min
41.6%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
45.1%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2025 | 3 | 00:51 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 1 | 17:48 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 1 | 12:35 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |