Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 51.3% vs Sturm 52.5% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Compher 67.0%
Defensive zone
Sturm 56.0%
Neutral zone
Sturm 56.4%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 55.3%
55.3%
44.7%
Compher
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Compher
Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Compher
1
0
Compher
Sturm
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
1
Compher
Sturm
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (471)
54.0% (480)
-1.8%
Power Play
65.6% (61)
28.6% (7)
+37.0%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (125)
50.0% (102)
-8.4%
On power play, Compher has a +37.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Compher is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (482).
Compher shoots right. Sturm is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (199).
Home / Away
Compher
Sturm
Home
54.4% (362)
54.0% (287)
Away
47.8% (295)
52.0% (302)
By Period
Compher
Sturm
P1
49.6%
53.5%
P2
53.6%
51.0%
P3
51.4%
55.1%
OT
57.1%
20.0%
Final 5 min
46.8%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
60.0%▲
49.0%
51.4%
Sturm
56.0%▼
58.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2022 | OT | 00:45 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 3 | 02:54 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |