Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +13.7% FO% edge overall. Compher wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 45.6% vs Sturm 57.1% (-13.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Compher 68.2%
Defensive zone
Compher 65.3%
Neutral zone
Compher 64.5%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 66.3%
66.3%
33.7%
Compher
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Compher
Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
1
Compher
Sturm
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
1
Compher
Sturm
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (847)
62.1% (356)
-16.3%
Power Play
40.8% (49)
75.0% (4)
-34.2%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (117)
38.7% (62)
+3.2%
On power play, Sturm has a +34.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Compher is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (740).
Compher shoots right. Sturm is 64.3% vs right-shot opponents (143).
Home / Away
Compher
Sturm
Home
45.1% (519)
61.8% (191)
Away
45.1% (494)
56.3% (231)
By Period
Compher
Sturm
P1
45.8%
58.0%
P2
46.2%
57.9%
P3
43.2%
60.6%
Final 5 min
41.6%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
45.1%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
58.8%