Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Compher on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 48.9% vs Sturm 55.2% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sturm 56.8%
Defensive zone
Sturm 87.3%
Neutral zone
Sturm 77.8%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 64.7%
35.3%
64.7%
Compher
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Compher
Sturm
Last 8: Compher 5-3 Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Compher
4
1
Compher
Sturm
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sturm
1
2
Compher
Sturm
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (1,149)
56.1% (716)
-6.8%
Power Play
53.9% (204)
67.7% (31)
-13.8%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (312)
51.1% (133)
-7.5%
On power play, Sturm has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Compher is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,162).
Compher shoots right. Sturm is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (288).
Home / Away
Compher
Sturm
Home
50.7% (872)
55.6% (412)
Away
46.8% (793)
56.0% (468)
By Period
Compher
Sturm
P1
49.9%
59.6%
P2
47.9%
52.0%
P3
49.0%
55.5%
OT
46.9%
60.0%
Final 5 min
51.0%
56.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
48.8%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 2 | 14:39 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 3 | 03:27 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 2 | 18:48 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 1 | 16:15 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 1 | 04:40 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 1 | 01:47 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 1 | 01:31 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |