Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Compher wins 45.7% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 45.2% vs Roy 47.2% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Compher 53.1%
Defensive zone
Roy 54.3%
Neutral zone
Compher 52.7%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
Compher
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Compher
Roy
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Compher
Roy
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (782)
47.5% (617)
-2.0%
Power Play
44.2% (77)
39.6% (53)
+4.6%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (180)
46.4% (97)
-4.7%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Compher is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (289).
Compher shoots right. Roy is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (174).
Home / Away
Compher
Roy
Home
44.0% (484)
47.2% (398)
Away
45.4% (555)
46.3% (369)
By Period
Compher
Roy
P1
46.2%
48.6%
P2
44.8%
48.8%
P3
44.2%
43.9%
OT
25.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
37.8%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
44.8%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 10:31 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 1 | 16:44 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |