Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 45.6% vs Roy 47.9% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Compher 54.1%
Defensive zone
Roy 51.8%
Neutral zone
Roy 50.7%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Compher
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Compher
Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Compher
Roy
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
0
1
Compher
Roy
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (847)
48.6% (679)
-2.8%
Power Play
40.8% (49)
48.0% (50)
-7.2%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (117)
34.7% (49)
+7.2%
On power play, Roy has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Compher is 47.3% vs right-shot opponents (273).
Compher shoots right. Roy is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Home / Away
Compher
Roy
Home
45.1% (519)
49.3% (345)
Away
45.1% (494)
46.4% (433)
By Period
Compher
Roy
P1
45.8%
47.6%
P2
46.2%
47.1%
P3
43.2%
47.9%
OT
33.3%
75.0%
Final 5 min
41.6%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
45.1%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2025 | 1 | 13:47 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 16, 2025 | 2 | 01:52 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 16, 2025 | 2 | 01:40 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |