Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.1% vs 52.2%). Look for Roy on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 51.8% vs Roy 51.9% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Roy leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Compher 53.5%
Defensive zone
Roy 61.8%
Neutral zone
Compher 51.6%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 54.9%
45.1%
54.9%
Compher
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Compher
Roy
Last 10: Compher 3-7 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
1
Compher
Roy
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
5
Compher
Roy
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Compher
3
1
Compher
Roy
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (757)
51.9% (547)
+2.0%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
54.1% (37)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
35.6% (90)
53.3% (92)
-17.7%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +17.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Compher is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (282).
Compher shoots right. Roy is 60.4% vs right-shot opponents (212).
Home / Away
Compher
Roy
Home
52.4% (429)
54.0% (328)
Away
51.7% (449)
50.6% (348)
By Period
Compher
Roy
P1
56.0%
53.5%
P2
50.0%
51.6%
P3
50.6%
51.6%
Final 5 min
49.3%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
52.1%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2025 | 3 | 08:17 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 3 | 04:53 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 2 | 19:11 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 2 | 19:01 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 2 | 16:16 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 2 | 08:59 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 1 | 13:09 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 1 | 04:16 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 1 | 01:20 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 2 | 13:57 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |