Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 50.9% vs Monahan 53.1% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 57.1%
Defensive zone
Compher 70.9%
Neutral zone
Compher 58.3%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 57.3%
57.3%
42.7%
Compher
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Compher
Monahan
Last 8: Compher 3-5 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
2
Compher
Monahan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
2
1
Compher
Monahan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
2
Compher
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (582)
53.8% (664)
-0.9%
Power Play
38.5% (13)
53.3% (137)
-14.8%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (66)
50.0% (62)
-13.6%
On power play, Monahan has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Compher is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (460).
Compher shoots right. Monahan is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (301).
Home / Away
Compher
Monahan
Home
52.2% (360)
54.8% (405)
Away
49.5% (301)
52.2% (458)
By Period
Compher
Monahan
P1
55.4%
49.6%
P2
49.8%
53.9%
P3
48.5%
55.2%
OT
33.3%
65.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
60.0%▲
49.0%
51.0%
Monahan
58.0%▲
53.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 05:06 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 07:19 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 00:37 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 04:57 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 00:36 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 17:32 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 11:18 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 04:38 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |