Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Compher wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 45.2% vs Monahan 54.5% (-10.1%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Compher 63.7%
Defensive zone
Compher 71.4%
Neutral zone
Compher 73.4%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 67.9%
67.9%
32.1%
Compher
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Compher
Monahan
Last 10: Compher 4-6 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
5
Compher
Monahan
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
3
1
Compher
Monahan
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
2
Compher
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (782)
57.1% (871)
-11.6%
Power Play
44.2% (77)
53.1% (262)
-8.9%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (180)
44.6% (139)
-2.9%
On even strength, Monahan has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Compher is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (750).
Compher shoots right. Monahan is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (519).
Home / Away
Compher
Monahan
Home
44.0% (484)
55.3% (644)
Away
45.4% (555)
54.5% (628)
By Period
Compher
Monahan
P1
46.2%
53.9%
P2
44.8%
55.3%
P3
44.2%
54.4%
OT
25.0%
76.5%
Final 5 min
37.8%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
44.8%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2023 | 3 | 13:27 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 3 | 03:32 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 2 | 14:12 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 2 | 06:24 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 9, 2023 | OT | 03:27 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 2 | 18:29 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 2 | 11:30 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 2 | 10:53 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 1 | 19:56 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 1 | 07:12 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 1 | 00:20 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |