Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 51.8% vs Monahan 52.8% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 58.3%
Defensive zone
Compher 70.2%
Neutral zone
Compher 56.2%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 56.0%
56.0%
44.0%
Compher
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Compher
Monahan
Last 8: Compher 3-5 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
2
Compher
Monahan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
2
1
Compher
Monahan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
2
Compher
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (757)
53.2% (823)
+0.7%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
55.3% (159)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
35.6% (90)
48.4% (95)
-12.8%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Compher is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Compher shoots right. Monahan is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (401).
Home / Away
Compher
Monahan
Home
52.4% (429)
54.6% (529)
Away
51.7% (449)
51.6% (548)
By Period
Compher
Monahan
P1
56.0%
49.0%
P2
50.0%
55.4%
P3
50.6%
53.6%
OT
50.0%
61.9%
Final 5 min
49.3%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
52.1%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 05:06 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 07:19 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 00:37 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 04:57 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 00:36 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 17:32 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 11:18 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 04:38 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |