Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Compher on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Compher wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 45.6% vs Monahan 52.4% (-7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 54.1%
Defensive zone
Compher 64.1%
Neutral zone
Monahan 58.0%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 54.3%
54.3%
45.7%
Compher
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Compher
Monahan
Last 6: Compher 3-3 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Compher
Monahan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
2
1
Compher
Monahan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Compher
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (847)
52.4% (853)
-6.6%
Power Play
40.8% (49)
58.6% (174)
-17.8%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (117)
46.5% (144)
-4.6%
On power play, Monahan has a +17.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Compher is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (740).
Compher shoots right. Monahan is 55.3% vs right-shot opponents (389).
Home / Away
Compher
Monahan
Home
45.1% (519)
53.4% (624)
Away
45.1% (494)
51.7% (547)
By Period
Compher
Monahan
P1
45.8%
53.7%
P2
46.2%
52.4%
P3
43.2%
51.6%
OT
33.3%
57.1%
Final 5 min
41.6%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
45.1%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2025 | 3 | 08:07 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 3 | 05:07 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 3 | 04:54 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 2 | 07:49 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 2 | 04:28 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 1 | 00:47 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |