Scouting Report
J.T. Compher holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Compher wins 45.7% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 45.2% vs Thompson 44.0% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Thompson leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Thompson 70.3%
Defensive zone
Thompson 66.4%
Neutral zone
Thompson 67.3%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 68.3%
31.7%
68.3%
Compher
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
9
(12 meetings)
3
9
Compher
Thompson
Last 10: Compher 2-8 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
4
Compher
Thompson
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
3
Compher
Thompson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Compher
Thompson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (782)
44.6% (709)
+0.9%
Power Play
44.2% (77)
41.5% (53)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (180)
35.1% (97)
+6.6%
On penalty kill, Compher has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Compher is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (289).
Compher shoots right. Thompson is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (232).
Home / Away
Compher
Thompson
Home
44.0% (484)
45.5% (426)
Away
45.4% (555)
41.1% (433)
By Period
Compher
Thompson
P1
46.2%
48.5%
P2
44.8%
43.8%
P3
44.2%
38.1%
OT
25.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
37.8%
37.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
44.8%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
43.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2024 | 3 | 14:25 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 3 | 14:21 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 3 | 14:19 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 3 | 09:02 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 3 | 08:41 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 3 | 02:43 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 2 | 12:57 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 1 | 15:49 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 1 | 07:37 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 1 | 05:16 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |