Scouting Report
J.T. Compher holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 51.8% vs Thompson 45.3% (+7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 81.0%
Defensive zone
Thompson 57.7%
Neutral zone
Thompson 71.8%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 72.9%
27.1%
72.9%
Compher
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Compher
Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
2
Compher
Thompson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
1
0
Compher
Thompson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Compher
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (757)
44.9% (642)
+9.0%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
47.9% (94)
+6.9%
Penalty Kill
35.6% (90)
33.3% (33)
+2.3%
On even strength, Compher has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Compher is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (282).
Compher shoots right. Thompson is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (220).
Home / Away
Compher
Thompson
Home
52.4% (429)
46.0% (391)
Away
51.7% (449)
43.4% (378)
By Period
Compher
Thompson
P1
56.0%
48.1%
P2
50.0%
44.9%
P3
50.6%
41.2%
OT
50.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
49.3%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
52.1%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 12:37 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 2 | 02:43 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 1 | 05:48 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |