Scouting Report
J.T. Compher holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on offensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 47.8% vs Thompson 42.8% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Compher leads 19-18 in 37 meetings
Offensive zone
Compher 51.3%
Defensive zone
Compher 72.3%
Neutral zone
Compher 57.1%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 61.0%
61.0%
39.0%
Compher
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
18
(37 meetings)
19
18
Compher
Thompson
Last 10: Compher 5-5 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
2
7
Compher
Thompson
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
8
5
Compher
Thompson
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Compher
9
6
Compher
Thompson
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (5,716)
42.9% (3,521)
+5.8%
Power Play
52.6% (682)
46.8% (372)
+5.8%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (1,421)
33.6% (265)
+8.3%
On penalty kill, Compher has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Compher is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (2,193).
Compher shoots right. Thompson is 47.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,147).
Home / Away
Compher
Thompson
Home
49.1% (3,894)
44.9% (2,115)
Away
46.6% (3,925)
40.3% (2,043)
By Period
Compher
Thompson
P1
49.1%
44.5%
P2
47.3%
43.6%
P3
47.4%
40.2%
OT
40.2%
36.4%
Final 5 min
46.2%
41.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
47.8%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 12:37 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 2 | 02:43 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 1 | 05:48 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 12, 2025 | 3 | 01:36 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 12, 2025 | 2 | 14:23 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 9, 2024 | 3 | 10:54 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 9, 2024 | 1 | 04:16 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 9, 2024 | 1 | 04:05 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 3 | 12:56 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 3 | 00:17 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 1 | 10:00 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 1 | 07:27 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 1 | 07:19 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 3 | 14:25 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 3 | 14:21 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 3 | 14:19 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |