Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 48.9% vs Seguin 54.2% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Compher 63.4%
Defensive zone
Compher 66.3%
Neutral zone
Compher 63.4%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 64.9%
64.9%
35.1%
Compher
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Compher
Seguin
Last 8: Compher 2-6 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
3
Compher
Seguin
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
3
Compher
Seguin
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (1,149)
55.0% (713)
-5.7%
Power Play
53.9% (204)
56.7% (104)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (312)
47.2% (53)
-3.6%
On even strength, Seguin has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Compher is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (503).
Compher shoots right. Seguin is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (274).
Home / Away
Compher
Seguin
Home
50.7% (872)
56.2% (443)
Away
46.8% (793)
53.2% (427)
By Period
Compher
Seguin
P1
49.9%
54.2%
P2
47.9%
52.9%
P3
49.0%
57.1%
OT
46.9%
60.0%
Final 5 min
51.0%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
48.8%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2023 | 1 | 19:26 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 1 | 15:22 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 2 | 17:14 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 2 | 14:10 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 2 | 00:25 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 1 | 08:46 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 3 | 16:44 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 2 | 00:54 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |