Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Compher wins 45.7% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 45.2% vs Seguin 55.4% (-11.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Compher 50.6%
Defensive zone
Compher 57.0%
Neutral zone
Compher 50.5%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Compher
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Compher
Seguin
Last 7: Compher 3-4 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
2
Compher
Seguin
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
2
Compher
Seguin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Compher
2
0
Compher
Seguin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (782)
56.9% (478)
-11.4%
Power Play
44.2% (77)
57.4% (54)
-13.2%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (180)
51.3% (76)
-9.6%
On power play, Seguin has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Compher is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (289).
Compher shoots right. Seguin is 60.7% vs right-shot opponents (135).
Home / Away
Compher
Seguin
Home
44.0% (484)
57.4% (317)
Away
45.4% (555)
55.0% (291)
By Period
Compher
Seguin
P1
46.2%
50.3%
P2
44.8%
60.4%
P3
44.2%
58.0%
OT
25.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
37.8%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
44.8%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2024 | 3 | 03:03 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 2 | 08:52 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 2 | 08:49 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 2 | 05:09 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 2 | 02:07 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 1 | 00:25 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |