Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on offensive-zone draws (59% H2H, 17 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 47.6% vs Seguin 53.6% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Seguin leads 20-15 in 35 meetings
Offensive zone
Compher 70.0%
Defensive zone
Compher 65.8%
Neutral zone
Compher 64.2%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 67.6%
67.6%
32.4%
Compher
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
20
(35 meetings)
15
20
Compher
Seguin
Last 10: Compher 4-6 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
7
10
Compher
Seguin
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
5
8
Compher
Seguin
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Compher
3
2
Compher
Seguin
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (5,541)
53.7% (8,071)
-5.2%
Power Play
52.3% (664)
55.9% (810)
-3.6%
Penalty Kill
42.0% (1,397)
49.3% (762)
-7.3%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Compher is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,112).
Compher shoots right. Seguin is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,846).
Home / Away
Compher
Seguin
Home
49.0% (3,825)
55.9% (4,759)
Away
46.2% (3,777)
51.4% (4,885)
By Period
Compher
Seguin
P1
48.8%
52.8%
P2
47.2%
53.3%
P3
47.1%
54.7%
OT
39.5%
54.7%
Final 5 min
46.3%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
60.0%▲
49.0%
47.6%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2024 | 3 | 03:03 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 2 | 08:52 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 2 | 08:49 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 2 | 05:09 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 2 | 02:07 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 1 | 00:25 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 1 | 19:26 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 1 | 15:22 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 2 | 17:14 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 2 | 14:10 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 2 | 00:25 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 1 | 08:46 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 3 | 16:44 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 2 | 00:54 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 2 | 01:22 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 1 | 09:29 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 1 | 15:53 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 3 | 18:18 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 2 | 18:46 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |