Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 50.5% vs Miller 59.6% (-10.4%)
H2H factor
Coyle leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Miller 97.3%
Defensive zone
Miller 78.5%
Neutral zone
Miller 92.5%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 87.4%
12.6%
87.4%
Coyle
Miller
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
2
(10 meetings)
8
2
Coyle
Miller
Last 10: Coyle 8-2 Miller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Coyle
Miller
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
5
0
Coyle
Miller
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Miller
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Miller
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (811)
61.5% (540)
-9.2%
Power Play
44.3% (61)
65.6% (122)
-21.3%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (181)
47.7% (65)
-2.9%
On power play, Miller has a +21.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Miller shoots left. Coyle is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (797).
Coyle shoots right. Miller is 59.8% vs right-shot opponents (271).
Home / Away
Coyle
Miller
Home
49.0% (537)
62.1% (372)
Away
52.1% (516)
59.7% (355)
By Period
Coyle
Miller
P1
48.7%
58.9%
P2
49.6%
63.9%
P3
53.1%
59.8%
OT
45.5%
60.0%
Final 5 min
49.1%
63.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
50.5%
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
60.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 12:47 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 05:14 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 15:58 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 3 | 08:57 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 1 | 19:40 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 1 | 14:34 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 15, 2025 | OT | 04:02 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 16:32 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 16:24 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 12:21 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |