J.T. Miller vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Miller wins 57.2% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 54.5% vs Pageau 56.7% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Miller leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Miller 60.3%
Defensive zone
Pageau 74.5%
Neutral zone
Pageau 58.7%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Miller
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
4
(13 meetings)
9
4
Miller
Pageau
Last 10: Miller 6-4 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
6
0
Miller
Pageau
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Miller
Pageau
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
3
Miller
Pageau
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (589)
58.8% (889)
-3.1%
Power Play
60.9% (138)
58.2% (182)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (159)
48.6% (185)
-1.4%
On even strength, Pageau has a +3.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Miller is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (304).
Miller shoots left. Pageau is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Home / Away
Miller
Pageau
Home
56.1% (440)
59.0% (595)
Away
53.8% (446)
55.7% (661)
By Period
Miller
Pageau
P1
52.3%
58.9%
P2
54.7%
57.9%
P3
57.2%
55.6%
OT
66.7%
44.4%
Final 5 min
54.2%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
55.0%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
57.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2023 | 3 | 15:38 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 9, 2023 | 3 | 03:46 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 9, 2023 | 2 | 17:21 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 9, 2023 | 2 | 13:45 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 9, 2023 | 2 | 02:34 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 9, 2023 | 2 | 02:25 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 9, 2023 | 1 | 14:34 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 2 | 15:06 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 1 | 18:23 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 1 | 06:41 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 1 | 03:46 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |