J.T. Miller vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.9% vs 54.8%). Look for Miller on offensive-zone draws (77% H2H, 34 meetings). Miller wins 55.8% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 54.8% vs Pageau 54.8% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 42-37 in 79 meetings
Offensive zone
Miller 71.9%
Defensive zone
Pageau 65.2%
Neutral zone
Pageau 52.5%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
Miller
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
37
-
42
(79 meetings)
37
42
Miller
Pageau
Last 10: Miller 3-7 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
26
8
Miller
Pageau
34 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
6
23
Miller
Pageau
29 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
5
11
Miller
Pageau
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (6,648)
55.7% (9,486)
-0.5%
Power Play
57.9% (1,285)
57.0% (1,002)
+0.9%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (913)
49.6% (2,069)
-1.4%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Miller is 55.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,937).
Miller shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,837).
Home / Away
Miller
Pageau
Home
55.9% (4,578)
56.3% (6,214)
Away
53.8% (4,268)
53.4% (6,343)
By Period
Miller
Pageau
P1
54.7%
54.6%
P2
55.6%
56.3%
P3
54.0%
53.5%
OT
62.3%
54.4%
Final 5 min
55.2%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
54.9%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 19:41 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 02:09 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 02:23 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 3 | 11:18 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 1 | 16:05 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 17:44 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 15:16 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 13:16 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 16:21 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 08:26 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 03:51 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 3 | 03:25 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 3 | 03:09 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 1 | 07:17 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 3 | 15:06 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 3 | 07:06 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 2 | 00:14 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 2 | 09:48 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |