J.T. Miller vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

J.T. Miller holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Miller wins 59.8% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Miller 59.6% vs Pageau 58.8% (+1.2%)
H2H factor Pageau leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone Miller 67.1%
Defensive zone Pageau 74.9%
Neutral zone Pageau 56.4%
Result Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 55.8%
44.2%
55.8%
Miller Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
4 - 7 (11 meetings)
4
7
Miller Pageau
Last 10: Miller 3-7 Pageau

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
3
2
Miller Pageau
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
5
Miller Pageau
6 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Miller
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
61.5% (540)
59.1% (687)
+2.4%
Power Play
65.6% (122)
69.4% (36)
-3.8%
Penalty Kill
47.7% (65)
60.1% (213)
-12.4%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +12.4% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Miller is 59.8% vs right-shot opponents (271).
Miller shoots left. Pageau is 60.5% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Home / Away
Miller
Pageau
Home
62.1% (372)
57.8% (377)
Away
59.7% (355)
61.0% (559)
By Period
Miller
Pageau
P1
58.9%
54.1%
P2
63.9%
62.1%
P3
59.8%
61.8%
OT
60.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
63.6%
63.1%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%
61.5%
60.9%
Pageau
54.0%
57.5%
59.7%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Jan 29, 2026 3 19:41 Offensive Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Jan 29, 2026 3 02:09 Defensive Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Jan 29, 2026 2 02:23 Offensive J.T. Miller
Jan 28, 2026 3 11:18 Defensive Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Jan 28, 2026 1 16:05 Offensive Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Nov 8, 2025 3 17:44 Defensive Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Nov 8, 2025 3 15:16 Offensive J.T. Miller
Nov 8, 2025 2 13:16 Defensive Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Nov 8, 2025 1 16:21 Defensive J.T. Miller
Nov 8, 2025 1 08:26 Defensive Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Nov 8, 2025 1 03:51 Offensive J.T. Miller