J.T. Miller vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Miller wins 59.8% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 59.6% vs Pageau 58.8% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Miller 67.1%
Defensive zone
Pageau 74.9%
Neutral zone
Pageau 56.4%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 55.8%
44.2%
55.8%
Miller
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Miller
Pageau
Last 10: Miller 3-7 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
3
2
Miller
Pageau
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
5
Miller
Pageau
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
61.5% (540)
59.1% (687)
+2.4%
Power Play
65.6% (122)
69.4% (36)
-3.8%
Penalty Kill
47.7% (65)
60.1% (213)
-12.4%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Miller is 59.8% vs right-shot opponents (271).
Miller shoots left. Pageau is 60.5% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Home / Away
Miller
Pageau
Home
62.1% (372)
57.8% (377)
Away
59.7% (355)
61.0% (559)
By Period
Miller
Pageau
P1
58.9%
54.1%
P2
63.9%
62.1%
P3
59.8%
61.8%
OT
60.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
63.6%
63.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
60.9%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 19:41 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 02:09 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 02:23 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 3 | 11:18 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 1 | 16:05 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 17:44 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 15:16 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 13:16 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 16:21 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 08:26 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 03:51 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |