Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on defensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Miller wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 53.8% vs Pavelski 52.2% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Miller leads 11-5 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Pavelski 54.8%
Defensive zone
Miller 86.4%
Neutral zone
Miller 62.8%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 72.7%
72.7%
27.3%
Miller
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
5
(16 meetings)
11
5
Miller
Pavelski
Last 10: Miller 6-4 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
2
1
Miller
Pavelski
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
7
2
Miller
Pavelski
9 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Miller
Pavelski
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (933)
52.5% (570)
+3.0%
Power Play
61.6% (73)
54.5% (145)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (227)
44.4% (36)
+1.4%
On power play, Miller has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Miller is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (464).
Miller shoots left. Pavelski is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Home / Away
Miller
Pavelski
Home
53.5% (578)
55.0% (391)
Away
54.7% (655)
49.7% (360)
By Period
Miller
Pavelski
P1
58.3%
50.8%
P2
53.5%
55.0%
P3
50.1%
52.0%
OT
70.6%
25.0%
Final 5 min
54.9%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
54.1%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2022 | 3 | 00:58 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 18, 2022 | 2 | 18:01 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 18, 2022 | 2 | 17:53 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 18, 2022 | 2 | 15:55 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 18, 2022 | 2 | 00:07 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 18, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 3 | 18:54 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 2 | 04:43 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 1 | 07:39 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 1 | 07:34 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 7, 2021 | 3 | 05:59 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 7, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 7, 2021 | 2 | 19:40 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 7, 2021 | 2 | 02:59 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 7, 2021 | 2 | 02:50 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 7, 2021 | 1 | 13:23 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |