Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (65% H2H, 20 meetings). Miller wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 54.8% vs Toews 57.9% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 28-15 in 43 meetings
Offensive zone
Miller 73.2%
Defensive zone
Miller 73.8%
Neutral zone
Miller 74.4%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 73.7%
73.7%
26.3%
Miller
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
28
(43 meetings)
15
28
Miller
Toews
Last 10: Miller 4-6 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
7
13
Miller
Toews
20 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
5
9
Miller
Toews
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
3
6
Miller
Toews
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (6,634)
57.2% (13,043)
-2.0%
Power Play
57.8% (1,281)
63.3% (3,246)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (910)
53.6% (1,810)
-5.5%
On power play, Toews has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Miller is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,891).
Miller shoots left. Toews is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (11,650).
Home / Away
Miller
Toews
Home
55.8% (4,557)
59.7% (9,192)
Away
53.8% (4,268)
56.1% (8,938)
By Period
Miller
Toews
P1
54.6%
58.6%
P2
55.6%
57.8%
P3
54.0%
57.3%
OT
62.0%
58.8%
Final 5 min
55.2%
58.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
56.0%▼
62.5%
54.9%
Toews
62.0%▬
61.5%
57.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 15:44 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 13:16 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 13:00 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 04:32 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 3 | 14:06 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 3 | 11:34 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 2 | 13:12 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 3 | 15:38 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 3 | 12:25 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 2 | 07:12 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 1 | 03:39 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 3 | 18:22 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 3 | 17:28 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 3 | 17:14 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 3 | 16:50 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 3 | 09:32 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 2 | 06:25 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 2 | 02:14 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 2 | 02:10 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 1 | 17:39 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |