Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Miller wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 54.5% vs Toews 61.9% (-8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Miller 62.3%
Defensive zone
Miller 61.4%
Neutral zone
Miller 62.9%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 62.2%
62.2%
37.8%
Miller
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Miller
Toews
Last 7: Miller 2-5 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
3
Miller
Toews
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
2
0
Miller
Toews
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
0
2
Miller
Toews
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (589)
61.1% (650)
-5.4%
Power Play
60.9% (138)
71.9% (192)
-11.0%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (159)
59.6% (99)
-12.4%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Miller is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (582).
Miller shoots left. Toews is 60.7% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Home / Away
Miller
Toews
Home
56.1% (440)
64.8% (560)
Away
53.8% (446)
60.6% (381)
By Period
Miller
Toews
P1
52.3%
62.3%
P2
54.7%
63.9%
P3
57.2%
62.8%
OT
66.7%
70.0%
Final 5 min
54.2%
60.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
55.0%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
63.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 15:44 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 13:16 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 13:00 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 04:32 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 3 | 14:06 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 3 | 11:34 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 2 | 13:12 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |