Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings). Miller wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 53.8% vs Toews 58.4% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Miller 53.2%
Defensive zone
Miller 55.2%
Neutral zone
Miller 55.2%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 53.8%
53.8%
46.2%
Miller
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Miller
Toews
Last 10: Miller 5-5 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
3
6
Miller
Toews
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
3
1
Miller
Toews
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (933)
58.0% (901)
-2.5%
Power Play
61.6% (73)
69.5% (226)
-7.9%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (227)
51.7% (209)
-5.9%
On power play, Toews has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Miller is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (769).
Miller shoots left. Toews is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Home / Away
Miller
Toews
Home
53.5% (578)
59.3% (637)
Away
54.7% (655)
58.7% (699)
By Period
Miller
Toews
P1
58.3%
61.5%
P2
53.5%
55.2%
P3
50.1%
60.0%
OT
70.6%
70.6%
Final 5 min
54.9%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
54.1%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
59.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2021 | 3 | 15:38 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 3 | 12:25 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 2 | 07:12 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 1 | 03:39 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 3 | 18:22 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 3 | 17:28 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 3 | 17:14 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 3 | 16:50 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 3 | 09:32 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 2 | 06:25 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 2 | 02:14 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 2 | 02:10 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 1 | 17:39 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |