Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (62% H2H, 21 meetings). Miller wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 54.8% vs Toews 57.9% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 28-16 in 44 meetings
Offensive zone
Miller 69.3%
Defensive zone
Miller 70.2%
Neutral zone
Miller 70.7%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 69.9%
69.9%
30.1%
Miller
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
28
(44 meetings)
16
28
Miller
Toews
Last 10: Miller 4-6 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
8
13
Miller
Toews
21 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
5
9
Miller
Toews
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
3
6
Miller
Toews
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (6,648)
57.2% (13,047)
-2.0%
Power Play
57.9% (1,285)
63.3% (3,252)
-5.4%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (913)
53.6% (1,810)
-5.4%
On power play, Toews has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Miller is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,907).
Miller shoots left. Toews is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (11,653).
Home / Away
Miller
Toews
Home
55.9% (4,578)
59.7% (9,192)
Away
53.8% (4,268)
56.1% (8,948)
By Period
Miller
Toews
P1
54.7%
58.6%
P2
55.6%
57.8%
P3
54.0%
57.3%
OT
62.3%
58.9%
Final 5 min
55.2%
58.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
54.9%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
57.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 07:32 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 15:44 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 13:16 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 13:00 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 04:32 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 3 | 14:06 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 3 | 11:34 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 2 | 13:12 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 3 | 15:38 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 3 | 12:25 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 2 | 07:12 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 1 | 03:39 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 3 | 18:22 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 3 | 17:28 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 3 | 17:14 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 3 | 16:50 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 3 | 09:32 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 2 | 06:25 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 2 | 02:14 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 2 | 02:10 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |