Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 12 meetings). Miller wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 54.8% vs Hayes 47.7% (+7.2%)
H2H factor
Miller leads 17-10 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Miller 93.8%
Defensive zone
Miller 79.7%
Neutral zone
Miller 87.7%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 87.8%
87.8%
12.2%
Miller
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
10
(27 meetings)
17
10
Miller
Hayes
Last 10: Miller 7-3 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
8
4
Miller
Hayes
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
6
3
Miller
Hayes
9 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Miller
Hayes
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (6,648)
47.5% (6,708)
+7.7%
Power Play
57.9% (1,285)
51.7% (702)
+6.2%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (913)
45.3% (697)
+2.9%
On even strength, Miller has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Miller is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,907).
Miller shoots left. Hayes is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,132).
Home / Away
Miller
Hayes
Home
55.9% (4,578)
48.1% (3,982)
Away
53.8% (4,268)
47.3% (4,125)
By Period
Miller
Hayes
P1
54.7%
47.5%
P2
55.6%
47.6%
P3
54.0%
47.9%
OT
62.3%
54.1%
Final 5 min
55.2%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
54.9%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2025 | 3 | 07:15 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 03:23 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 1 | 12:54 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 3 | 12:29 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 2 | 16:19 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 1 | 14:57 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 1 | 08:19 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 3 | 08:08 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 2 | 18:12 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 2 | 17:54 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 2 | 05:41 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 17:38 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 15:35 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 13:44 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 09:55 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 01:28 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 08:25 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 25, 2019 | 2 | 15:31 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 2, 2019 | 2 | 16:17 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 10, 2018 | 2 | 18:41 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |