Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Miller wins 57.4% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 57.6% vs Hayes 51.7% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Miller 71.9%
Defensive zone
Miller 69.9%
Neutral zone
Miller 61.9%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 71.3%
71.3%
28.7%
Miller
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Miller
Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
2
0
Miller
Hayes
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
1
Miller
Hayes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
58.2% (823)
51.6% (386)
+6.6%
Power Play
58.2% (165)
53.2% (47)
+5.0%
Penalty Kill
58.9% (90)
60.0% (20)
-1.1%
On even strength, Miller has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Miller is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (754).
Miller shoots left. Hayes is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (300).
Home / Away
Miller
Hayes
Home
59.1% (558)
50.5% (200)
Away
57.3% (520)
53.4% (253)
By Period
Miller
Hayes
P1
60.7%
58.8%
P2
57.5%
49.3%
P3
56.1%
48.0%
OT
73.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
60.8%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
58.3%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2025 | 3 | 07:15 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 03:23 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 1 | 12:54 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |