Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +12.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Beniers on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Miller wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Beniers shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 54.5% vs Beniers 42.9% (+12.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beniers 54.6%
Defensive zone
Miller 58.1%
Neutral zone
Beniers 53.5%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Miller
Beniers
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Miller
Beniers
Last 8: Miller 4-4 Beniers
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Miller
Beniers
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
1
0
Miller
Beniers
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beniers
2
3
Miller
Beniers
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Beniers
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (589)
42.3% (879)
+13.4%
Power Play
60.9% (138)
40.3% (72)
+20.6%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (159)
44.4% (18)
+2.8%
On power play, Miller has a +20.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beniers shoots left. Miller is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (582).
Miller shoots left. Beniers is 41.3% vs left-shot opponents (598).
Home / Away
Miller
Beniers
Home
56.1% (440)
43.8% (495)
Away
53.8% (446)
40.5% (474)
By Period
Miller
Beniers
P1
52.3%
43.3%
P2
54.7%
45.6%
P3
57.2%
38.2%
OT
66.7%
36.4%
Final 5 min
54.2%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
55.0%
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
42.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2023 | 3 | 16:05 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 1 | 15:22 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 1 | 00:08 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 1 | 08:21 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 22, 2022 | OT | 00:53 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 3 | 06:37 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |