Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Beniers on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Miller wins 57.4% vs left-shot opponents — Beniers shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 57.6% vs Beniers 47.8% (+10.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beniers 51.5%
Defensive zone
Beniers 59.1%
Neutral zone
Beniers 61.2%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 56.4%
43.6%
56.4%
Miller
Beniers
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Miller
Beniers
Last 9: Miller 4-5 Beniers
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Miller
Beniers
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Miller
Beniers
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beniers
1
2
Miller
Beniers
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Beniers
Edge
Even Strength
58.2% (823)
48.3% (1,050)
+9.9%
Power Play
58.2% (165)
42.9% (105)
+15.3%
Penalty Kill
58.9% (90)
43.6% (39)
+15.3%
On power play, Miller has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beniers shoots left. Miller is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (754).
Miller shoots left. Beniers is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Home / Away
Miller
Beniers
Home
59.1% (558)
48.7% (630)
Away
57.3% (520)
46.5% (564)
By Period
Miller
Beniers
P1
60.7%
49.2%
P2
57.5%
45.0%
P3
56.1%
49.3%
OT
73.3%
22.2%
Final 5 min
60.8%
45.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
58.3%
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2025 | OT | 00:36 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 1 | 13:43 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 3 | 19:10 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 3 | 12:19 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 3 | 05:40 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 3 | 03:29 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 2 | 15:14 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 2 | 00:53 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 1 | 13:58 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |